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    SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC)

    SPSC Q1 2025 21% revenue gain to $181.5M, 300 net adds

    Reported on Jun 10, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$139.03Last close (Apr 24, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$134.70Open (Apr 25, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-4.33(-3.11%)
    • Consistent and Strong Revenue Growth: Q1 2025 revenue grew 21% to $181.5 million and marked the 97th consecutive quarter of revenue growth, which indicates robust market traction and resiliency even amid macro uncertainties.
    • Expanding Customer Base and Cross-Sell Opportunities: The company delivered net organic customer additions (approximately 300 customers) alongside a stronger-than-expected Carbon6 acquisition that added 8,500 customers. This expansion supports increased cross-selling potential between their fulfillment and revenue recovery segments.
    • Operational Efficiency and Scalability: Management highlighted significant investments in automation—including leveraging AI—and cost efficiencies that enhance operational scalability and margin expansion, positioning the company for sustainable profitability.
    • Tariff and macroeconomic uncertainty: Concerns that heightened tariff pressures and broader economic uncertainty may dampen the pace of enablement campaigns and put pressure on supplier retention, potentially impacting revenue growth.
    • Weakness in the analytics segment: A 2% decline in analytics revenue in Q1 highlights vulnerability in this discretionary area, which could be indicative of broader margin pressures if economic conditions worsen.
    • Acquisition integration risks: The integration of Carbon6, which added 8,500 customers but reflected a net-zero customer change from acquisition to post-close, introduces risks related to maintaining sustainable organic growth.
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue

    21% increase

    Total Revenue increased by 21% YoY to $181.55 million, driven by strong growth in recurring revenues through enhanced usage and increased ARPU, as well as strategic acquisitions that built on the growth momentum observed in Q1 2024.

    Recurring Revenues

    23% increase

    Recurring Revenues reached $172.33 million, up 23% YoY from $139.7 million, mainly due to increased wallet share and a higher number of recurring revenue customers, supported by acquisitions and organic usage growth from the previous period.

    One-Time Revenues

    6.6% decline

    One-Time Revenues declined by roughly 6.6% YoY from $9.876 million to $9.22 million, reflecting lower volumes in setup and miscellaneous fees, which often fluctuate compared to recurring revenue streams as seen in the prior period.

    Domestic Revenue

    24% increase

    Domestic Revenue grew to $154.317 million, a 24% YoY increase from $124.15 million, driven by robust performance in the domestic market, increased recurring revenue contributions, and focused sales efforts that continue the upward trends from Q1 2024.

    International Revenue

    7% increase

    International Revenue increased modestly by about 7%, rising from $25.43 million to $27.232 million YoY, indicating gradual market expansion and the impact of currency effects, in contrast to the stronger domestic growth observed in previous periods.

    Operating Income

    68% increase

    Operating Income surged by 68% YoY to $25,956 thousand from $15,403 thousand, primarily due to operational leverage and improved margins from strong revenue growth, reflecting enhanced efficiency over the previous period.

    Net Income

    23% increase

    Net Income increased by approximately 23% YoY to $22,196 thousand from $18,003 thousand, driven by overall higher revenues and operational improvements that built on the past period’s performance, contributing to better profitability.

    1. Margin Timing
      Q: Why did Q1 EPS beat not carry forward?
      A: Management explained that the strong Q1 EPS partly resulted from the timing of increased spend and investments, so not all of that performance carries into the full year.

    2. Organic Growth
      Q: Confirm 300 organic new customers added?
      A: Management confirmed that, excluding acquisitions, Q1 delivered a net 300 organic customer addition, reflecting robust results from community enablement programs.

    3. Acquisition Impact
      Q: How did Carbon6 add differ from expectations?
      A: Management noted that the Carbon6 acquisition delivered 8,500 customers—exceeding the preliminary estimate of 6,500—demonstrating a favorable acquisition outcome.

    4. Macro Environment
      Q: What macro indicators are you monitoring?
      A: Management highlighted that they focus on the volume and speed of the enablement campaign pipeline, along with supplier retention, to gauge economic uncertainty and market conditions.

    5. Tariff Effects
      Q: Do tariffs delay enablement campaigns?
      A: Management indicated that while tariffs remain top-of-mind and generate some uncertainty, they have not yet caused any slowdown in the overall volume or pace of enablement campaigns.

    6. Cross-Sell Potential
      Q: Is cross-selling showing promise?
      A: Early indications are positive, with clear alignment between revenue recovery and fulfillment efforts generating cross-sell opportunities that support long-term growth.

    7. Analytics Performance
      Q: Why did analytics decline in Q1?
      A: Management reported a ~2% decline in analytics performance, attributing the dip to economic dynamics, while expecting flat performance over the full year.

    8. Supply Chain Shift
      Q: Will supply chain shifts benefit SPS?
      A: Management expects that diversification in supply chains and reorientation efforts could serve as a tailwind, as greater digital onboarding helps retailers achieve agility.

    9. ERP/WMS Projects
      Q: Are ERP/WMS projects slowing due to uncertainty?
      A: Management observed no current slowdown in ERP or WMS projects, although they continue to monitor these initiatives closely amid ongoing macro challenges.

    10. Enablement Bias
      Q: Why target enablement for existing retailers?
      A: Management explained that enablement campaigns often focus on retailers they’ve previously engaged with, which then uncover additional new subscribing customers when extending campaigns.

    11. De Minimis Impact
      Q: Impact from de minimis exemption expiry?
      A: Management does not expect a significant impact on Amazon sellers since most sellers import in bulk and rely on local fulfillment, keeping their operations largely unaffected.

    12. Carbon6 Growth Rate
      Q: How fast are Carbon6 customers growing?
      A: Post-acquisition, Carbon6’s customer base has remained stable—with gains balanced by some churn over a short period—indicating steady performance.

    13. New Retailer Impact
      Q: Did any new retailer drive organic growth?
      A: Management noted that campaigns with new retailers uncovered additional customers, highlighting a favorable mix that boosted organic growth this quarter.